تغییر اقلیم و احتمال تروریسم زیست محیطی در ایران

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات تهران

10.22034/gahr.2023.394411.1858

چکیده

هدف این تحقیق بررسی احتمال وقوع تروریسم زیست محیطی با توجه به تأثیر پیامدهای تغییر اقلیم در ایران است. از این رو تلاش می شود به این پرسش پاسخ داده شود که آیا پیامدهای تغییر اقلیم در ایران ضمن ایجاد چالش های امنیتی، می تواند شرایط را برای درگیری بر سر منابعی که زمینه ساز هستند، ایجاد کند؟ روش تحلیلی - توصیفی و آخرین داده های مراکز تحقیقاتی ایران نیز برای پاسخ به سوال پیدایش تروریسم زیست محیطی استفاده می شود؟ برای پاسخ به این سوال ابتدا تاثیر تغییر اقلیم بر حوزه های آبخیز کشور به عنوان قطب تولید محصولات کشاورزی بررسی می شود. و انتظار می رود با توجه به افزایش دما و خشکسالی های مکرر و در نتیجه کاهش راندمان تولید مواد غذایی در مهم ترین حوزه های آبخیز ایران، همراه با افزایش تضادها بر سر منابع طبیعی، فشار مضاعف بر منابع کمیاب و امکانات بیولوژیکی وارد شود. به عنوان یک سلاح کارآمد ظاهر می شود. می تواند در خدمت فعالیت های فراقانونی نیروهای واگرا از دولت مرکزی باشد و منجر به ظهور نهادها و گروه هایی با ایدئولوژی ها یا استراتژی های رادیکال شود.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات


عنوان مقاله [English]

Climate change and the possibility of environmental terrorism in Iran

نویسنده [English]

  • mariam verij kazemi
Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University Tehran
چکیده [English]

The purpose of this research is to investigate the possibility of environmental terrorism due to the impact of the consequences of climate change in Iran. Therefore, an attempt is made to answer the question of whether the consequences of climate change in Iran, while creating security challenges, can create the conditions for conflict over resources that are the background. The analytical -descriptive method and the latest data from Iran's research centers are used too for ans the question about The emergence of environmental terrorism,? To answer this question, the impact of climate change on the watersheds of the country as a pole of agricultural production is investigated first. And it is expected that due to the increase in temperature and frequent droughts and as a result the reduction of food production efficiency in the most important watersheds of Iran, along with the increase of conflicts over natural resources, double pressure on scarce resources and biological facilities as an efficient weapon appear. It can serve the extralegal activities of divergent forces from the central government and lead to the emergence of institutions and groups with radical ideologies or strategies.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • climate change
  • environmental terrorism
  • agriculture
  • security
  • Iran
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